Nix Nolan

Reports yesterday and today seem to confirm that former 49ers coach Mike Nolan is heading to Denver. So who is McCarthy focusing on to be what will be the biggest decision of his head coaching career and may determine his future as a head coach in the NFL? Gregg Williams appears to be still in the running only because he hasn’t signed with anybody else yet. Eagles secondary coach Sean McDermott appears to be a front runner but what if the Eagles go to the Super Bowl as expected and you wait three more weeks and he says he happy where he is. Do the letters S.O.L. mean anything to you? If that were to happen McCarthy would have to give the job to Winston Moss and hire a good realtor.

I doubt the teams that have new coaches or defensive coordinator openings dilly-dally around much longer. I can see Williams being hired by Houston or New Orleans in the next day or so and now that Romeo Crennel is staying with the Browns, the prospects are getting thin if you are looking for a guy with experience, which McCarthy should be doing with only his career on the line.

I originally wanted Nolan, that’s gone. Now I want Williams, but I can’t see that happening, either. So lets hope the Packers make McDermott an offer he can’t refuse. There are other retreads out there that have been coordinators in the past but couldn’t land equivalent jobs since being fired from that position but if you are going to dig that deep you might as well just go with McDermott.

One thing about McCarthy, and maybe it is his flaw as a play-caller as well, and that is he can’t seem to make a quick decision. Maybe that isn’t even a flaw at all, but just once I’d like to see a big Mike Holmgren/Ron Wolf-like move. The Packers are not that far away and the with a quality young QB, the time to strike his now.

  • Tom

    Nobody with a decent rep will come to GB as a DC for two reasons. McCarthy can’t make quick decisions, and Thompson is too tight with the purse strings as far as bringing any free agent playmakers.

  • http://www.scotrstone.com Scot

    I think McCarthy should take his time and make the right decision. I think Williams will end up in New Orleans. I think the new DC will be either McDermott or Butler of Pittsburgh. I don’t think Moss is ready yet for DC. He couldn’t even handle the linebackers last year when Barnett went down. Until Haslett is hired by the Rams as HC, then he’s still a candidate. Was Fassel a DC or OC? I can’t remember. I thought it was DC. If he was a DC, then he should be in the mix, too. McCarthy also could look to the Titans defense for a DC as well. There are options, and there is no reason to panic. In fact, the further into the playoffs the coordinators get that he’s considering, gives him all the more reason to wait and be patient until the right guy comes available. I have a feeling the Eagles will be done at the end of this week.

  • JeffN

    I really hope Williams ends up being the DC. I’m sure there are other guys out there that are decent, but we have to go with a for sure thing on this one. Coaching positions are too important to bust on. I will probably have a nervous break down if Winston Moss gets the job.

  • CheesyD

    I think they should just peruse these boards for the next candidate. There’s a lot of guys who post here who think they are more than qualified. : )

  • Larry

    Aint it the truth! Most of the “big name” DCs in the playoffs today were a “no name” position coach yesterday.

  • Roy Jamison

    I am hoping MM has talked to several candidates and not limited to the 3 Al listed. In this case, MM can’t afford to make the wrong decision. Give him all the time he needs.

  • Roy Jamison

    I hope the the reason Nolan didn’t come and Williams may not come has the initials TT. They might have already looked at the “help” Sanders got and deemed it lacking. The fact that the Green Bay newspaper said Nolan was a 90 per cent done deal is very suspicious. I am assuming Nolan and MM are still close. Maybe it’s too “convenient” to blame TT for this one.

  • Roy Jamison

    I forgot one other important factor: MM has been on the job 3 years. He has one winning year. He may have an extended contract, but any coordinator coming in may think this gig is only going to be for one or two years if things fall flat. You’ like to think the “candidates” would have some enthusiasm for the core of the defense. But when you look at aging corners, so-so backers, and a terrible D-Line, they may have the word “overhaul” on their minds.

  • matt

    “Thompson is too tight with the purse strings as far as bringing any free agent playmakers.”

    Remember Joe Johnson and Cletidus Hunt.

  • Pack4life

    This regime is good at dragging things out. Ryan Grant,Greg Jennings The TE trade that didnt happen and now this. It took a week to fire Bob Sanders. I thought he had his guy lined up already. I am starting to believe that Moss is the guy and these are fake interviews to satisfy the public.

  • Larry

    I’m sure TT reads this site and therefore would not agree to bringing in anyone we didn’t approve of.

  • Pete H

    Yes Matt, I remember them. Do you remember Reggie White? Santana Dotson, Sean Jones. Grady Jackson? Yes there are busts, but there are also successes. You can’t just look at one or the other. Look around the league last year at D lineman. Jared Allen, success. Jenkins in NY success. Rogers in Cleve. success. Abraham in Atl. success. If you just want to look at failures then nobody should ever draft in the first round again, its full of them. To me, that is a “I don’t want to be wrong”, rather than “this could catapult this team” mentality, which would fit this ” coaching not to lose philosophy we already have.

  • Roy Jamison

    I’m beginning to think this is deju vu all over again. We bring in a great D coach like Jim Bates, he succeeds while MM fails. MM gets the ax and the new guy gets an interview with TT. TT decides he wants someone else…

  • Dan

    I just hope it’s a Buddy Ryan type. Someone willing to speak up when things go wrong. We’ve seen what happens when the defensive coaches are a bunch of “yes” men (and that includes Moss).

    It seems like every good defensive coach speaks his mind and doesn’t care what anyone else thinks.

    Hopefully there aren’t too many teams still looking for d-coordinators.

  • http://Orlando Mark

    Pete and Dan, amen. An independent D-coordinator can make a big difference. Devising schemes, motivating, teaching and getting the players he needs from the GM. I remember stories of Landry working with Sam Huff when they were with the Giants, like a offensive coach would work with a QB, to install the new 4-3 defense. I hope TT and MM can sell a good prospective coach that he’ll get the players he needs. We have a lot of resources and high draft picks, this should be easy.

  • Roy Jamison

    Still conducting autopsy on bodies of previous Packers defensive coaches, finding arrows in backs with TT initialed on shafts.

  • JeffN

    Pete H, the Reggie, Sean Jones etc days were a different market. Besides now days with the salary cap no team could afford signing that many big name veterans these days. FA is slim pickings these days which is why there are so many more busts than there used to be. Guys who really shouldn’t be highly regarded end up being overrated (because of lack of free agents on the market) and sign huge contracts for so little production which I think is the point Matt was getting at. Back in the day you could buy a team if you had the money which is what the Pack did because they spent so little money throughout the 1980s. If the future years end up being uncapped markets you will not see this organization be competitive at all in the free agent market unless Green Bay finds additional sources of income. Sad but true.

    So not having a cap back in the 90s helped us because of the money we had saved prior. Going forward a no cap situation over a long term could hurt us badly. We would most certainly be outspent by the larger organizations. Basically what is happening in baseball right now would happen in the NFL.

  • Pack4life

    The baseball analogy is flawed because you have explain the Tampa Rays and Minnesota Twins. 2 of the lowest payrolls in baseball. Drafting with the proper mix of Free agents still works. The parity in the NFL allows for very quick turn arounds. Look at the Cards and Ravens.

  • JeffN

    The point on the baseball analogy is CC. $100M as opposed to $160M. In a capped market the Brewers would have been able to resign him because both teams would have the same amount of money to spend from their cap instead of New York having a no limit spending basically. So that is the analogy.

    Just because you have the most money doesn’t automatically make you the best team but allows you to have the upper hand in free agency which is what matt and pete were talking about. Things still have to be well run, well done if want to win in the biggest game. However it puts you at a serious disadvantage in the free agent market when you have an uncapped system if you are a small market team like the Pack or the Brewers.

  • Pete H

    I agree with you totally JeffN, and yes, we are screwed if there is an uncapped era again. Notice though that I included several names from just last year who are successes. My whole point is that, yes it is a gamble, so is the draft, but that doesn’t mean you avoid it almost entirely. There are still good players to be had and if Tt is as godd a talent evaluator as he thinks he is, then he should make some bigger moves. You do have to overpay, but that is better than just being an unproductive team, especially when they are this far under a cap that we do still have. Besides, they could sign some people now that would still be signed if the cap goes away for a year or two. Another point is that if they don’t sign people and remain an average team, their own players that TT wants to keep will know they can get more on the open market and bail.

  • Roy Jamison

    We probably will see a big shake up here in Kansas City with Bill Parsell’s son-in-law, Scott Pioli taking over the GM duties. Herm Edwards and most likely his whole staff will be let go. Expect the top head coaching suspects to get an interview in KC soon.

  • Reid

    What free agents did the Cardinals, Eagles, Steelers and Ravens sign last year that made a difference for them this year? Who did they bring in and how much did they spend?

  • JeffN

    It would be better to be somewhat more active in Free Agency I would agree with that. I don’t think we know as much as we think we do on why our FA activity level is lower than other teams. Maybe Green Bay is a ard place to recruit high demand NFL players to. They probably talk/negotiate with players behind the scences that we don’t hear about. I think many players in come cases probably just don’t even pick up the phone or try to talk to us because wouldn’t San Diego or Miami be a better place to live/train for example. If I had to move to a different part of the country for my job and I had a choice it wouldn’t be Northeastern WI.

  • Pete H

    You are probably right about that.

  • Pete H

    Reid…. Warner, James, Bertrand Berry for the Cards. Eagles: Chris Clemons, Kevin Curtis, Samuel. Steelers: Mewelde Moore : Ravens: Willie Anderson, Mason, Pryce, Bart Scott, Samari Rolle. No they were not all last year, but they were all free agents and they made a HUGE difference

  • Roy Jamison

    Nice research Pete. So no one would be opposed to having Matt Birk join the Packers?

  • Pete H

    I wouldn’t be opposed to anyone that demonstrates that TT accepts that he hasn’t supplied enough talent. Even in his post season interviews he pussyfoots around stating whether or not he did an adequate job. He always says “it starts with me”, but won’t acknowledge any place where he actually wants to upgrade. Cripes even Jerry Angelo finally caved and said he wants a high caliber QB.

  • JeffN

    If we had an extra DT and an extra DE that could play full time ball we would be in the playoffs and saying the same things about Woodson, and Picket. Bigby but he was hurt all year and I guess Grant was a trade. Point being there has been some movement in FA but not as much as people would like, I can see that point.

    …and I know we don’t have an extra DT and extra DE so we are not in the play offs so the brass needs to make damn certain they get that D-Line shored up. Ok I’m not going to get started on my soap box about the D-Line again.

  • Maxaz1

    MM — Think like this, please!

    “I don’t hire anybody who’s not brighter than I am. If they’re not brighter than I am, I don’t need them.” Paul “Bear” Bryant, I Ain’t Never Been Nothing but a Winner

  • Reid

    Pete H – thanks. It looks like 1 or 2 on each team who actually make a difference. What does everyone think? We got Woodson, Pickett, and Chillar. How has TT compared to the 4 playoff teams this year in FA?

  • Pete H

    As far as how many from each team are FAs, I don’t know all that. In a way TT has to be given some credit for having a team out there that, in spite of some major defensive injuries, competed against almost every team it played, but so did the Lions. I am frustrated with him because it seems that many many people were calling for the same types of moves last year that we need again this year. I don’t think he should be fired at all. This last season is just kind of a what could have been. I just hate to see a team sit on its hands with that much money and end up just that little bit short. Now I don’t know what went on behind the scenes, but it came across that way. TT has made some excellent moves, Bigby, Grant, Jennings are guys I would have never imagined being who they are. Kudos for those, and for Pickett and Woodson. Its just frustrating when the things that I thought were painfully obvious needs last offseason didn’t get addressed and the Pack paid for those needs. I’m not saying I’m smarter than TT, but that kind of is my reason of frustration.

  • Pete H

    I would also like to say that teams can miss on a guy in FA and still be successful. The Eagles paid an assload for Kearse and he didn’t do much, and yet here they are. I mean, they could have had a 12 million dollar a year guy who blew the last two seasons and it wouldn’t have destroyed the future of the franchise.

  • JeffN

    My major frustration is the d-line, but I’m done rambling about that. I think tho if they go with a 3-4 they should draft the best nose tackle in the draft and rotate that guy with Picket. Even if it’s an undervalued pick for a draft position, just because a nose tackle provides this team a lot of value for the position. If they go with a 4-3 I think they should draft Orakpo DE and slide Jenkins inside. Of course if a horse of an OT is there I wouldn’t be opposed to taking that guy either cuz they need 1 more OT.

  • JeffN

    Williams signed with New Orleans :-(

    I guess the bright side is it’s safe to say we will get someone better than Sanders. It’s anybodys guess who it will be now.

  • Pack4life

    2 guys have said no thanks to the Packers DC job. Something just doesnt smell right. I believe this is the scenario DC Canidate: Will I be able to bring my some of my players in? MM : I cant really answer that question. DC Canidate: Why not?
    MM: lets just say I dont have good pad level in the front office.

  • JeffN

    Ok whatever Pack4life, I think it’s pretty normal to inverview multiple candidates and not find a good fit on both sides right away. I sense a lot of disrespect to the Packers organization in your post. I have a lot of respect for the Packers organization and MM and if you don’t then why do you visit this site and why are you a Packer fan?

  • Pack4life

    In a division with the Lions the Packers only managed 6 wins. AZ is in the NFC Championship game. The Vikes won the division by default with Frerotte and Tavaris at QB. I am not a robot I have followed the Packers for 30 years. TT came out in the paper and defended Justin Harrell are you kidding me? 7 Games we had a chance to win and couldnt win one. Thats at MMs doorstep.

  • Pete H

    Teams generally interview several candidates before deciding. Thats not to say that some of them aren’t refusing offers the Packers have made, but I’m not throwing in the towel and saying we are headed to the 80′s type banishment yet.

  • Reid

    Did they make an offer to Nolan and/or Williams?

  • Boothie

    From what I’ve heard, they did. I did hear an excellent interview with the Jacksonville Jaguar’s Play-by-Play announcer. He had some choice words to say about Williams. The point behind his words was that you need Talent in order to be able to blitz and this announcer felt that both the Packers and the Saints didn’t have it. He also felt that the Saints had a better offense so that the Saints could better draft for Defense.

    One of the problems with Williams and the Jaguars was that they didn’t have the talent to blitz so Williams had them play Cover 2 a lot. Del Rio wanted more blitzing but Williams knew that they wouldn’t get there and wouldn’t do it.

    McCarthy wants a blitzing defense. Unfortunately, at the present time the Packers don’t have the horses for it. I think that TT will be working toward that end, but it’s going to take time. I don’t think that you can have both an excellent offense and defense.

    Regarding Special Teams, I think that Mike Stock took the fall for it. Whether he recommended Frost or not…

    I see Thompson going heavy on the Defensive and Offensive Lines with a Safety and/or Corner. Will he be a player in Free Agency? Time will tell.

  • Pete H

    Stock did take the fall, but it was still much to do with him. I know that Frost was Tt and losing Tracey White didn’t help, but you can’t allow the kind of returns in crucial situations with lane breakdowns like they did.

  • Roy Jamison

    Pack4life makes a good point: Passing the smell test. You gotta think that Nolan and Williams both know if things don’t work out well…read if TT doesn’t supply the necessary defensive talent…this DC gig is a one year deal. Maybe Nolan know McCarthy too well and Williams is smart enough to see what is wrong. Of course, all the coaches that were asked to leave are still being paid next year I believe, so how that affects the pay scale, only TT knows and the two MMs know.

  • Roy Jamison

    I see now that the Titans DC went to the Lions, Chuck Cecil might be a candidate to become their new DC. Wonder if MM might consider CC? I guarantee he would make the Defense a lot tougher and demand hitting.

  • Boothie

    I fully agree.

  • Pete H

    I didn’t know Cecil was coaching somewhere. Thats awesome, he was fun to watch…a little cheap, but fun.

  • JeffN

    Cecil once appeard on the cover of Sports Illustrated with the head line “Too Tough For The NFL” that was pretty sweet. Although, some of that reason was because he speared a lot and yes spearing is cheap.

    My guess is the new D-coordinator will be someone who is not currently a D-coordinator or a head coach and never has been either. It’s going to be a promotion of some sort kind of like MM was a promotion from O-coordinator to head coach. I’m not even going to try and guess who it will be tho.

  • Pack4life

    Adam Schefter of NFL NETWORK is reporting DOM CAPERS is Interviewing for the DC Job. If we land Capers all will be well with the Defense. He is on the New England staff now. Capers took an expansion team to the NFC championship game (a game we all remember) Whatever we think about the Packers personnel on defense its better than nothing.

  • Roy Jamison

    What seems chilling to me is the sense that a head coach who fires coordinators probably isn’t going anywhere himself.
    As Bob McGinn noted: “Do you know how many coordinators Bill Belichick has fired in nine years in New England? None. He has quietly released half a dozen assistants.

    Guess how many assistants Holmgren fired in his first 11 seasons as a head coach? None. When Holmgren was the 49ers’ offensive coordinator in 1990, he and George Seifert let go assistant Al Lavan. Years later, Holmgren told me he still felt sick about it.

    One of Holmgren’s disciples, Andy Reid, hasn’t fired anyone in his decade in Philadelphia. Both of them believe that if they were going to uproot a coach’s family and the hire gave his all, they would take it as a personal challenge to coach the coach and, if his work wasn’t up to par, tutor him until it was.

    Some coaches, such as Jim Mora Sr. in Indianapolis (2002), Wade Phillips in Buffalo (2001), Bobby Ross in San Diego (1997) and Marty Schottenheimer in Cleveland (1989), refused management’s demands to can coaches and walked the plank.

    With head coaches’ salaries skyrocketing, the number of head coaches taking the moral high ground has diminished. Sadly, more and more assistants are becoming scapegoats, pawns in a profession overrun with hypocrites.”

    As McGinn noted he wasn’t upset with the firings as much as why McCarthy hired these guys in the first place. They ended up being middle of the pack coaches…average. Apparently MM did not do his due diligence and suffered the consequences. As McGinn also noted, unlike Sherman who showed up the next day to face the reporters heat after firing his DC, MM went undercover. This certainly is not a good sign. I am trying to think of a situation where a head coach fired his entire defensive crew and was successful. I have drawn a blank. Anyone?

  • JeffN

    So you would suggest keeping Bob Sanders? or what do you think should be done going forward? I think MM is fine with running the offense we just need someone who can run the defense and we are good to go.

  • Roy Jamison

    Nope. I’m just suggesting that a coach who makes bad decisions, may continue to make the same type of ill advised decisions. You have to question the thought process of a coach who goes forth with a system of defense without the driving force, Jim Bates. In my own personal experience, I admire people who take the heat for decisions instead of making scapegoats of others. Unfortunately, MM made a significant hiring mistake and couldn’t mask it. The successful head coaches make absolutely certain the guys they hire are going to stick. The same type of questions have to be asked about axing a conditioning coach. I can remember the rave reviews that Rock got when he came onboard. What happened? Did he deviate from the overall philosophy MM has, or did MM change the philosophy? I’m fine with MM taking time to get it right this time. I only wish he would have taken the same time when he hired Sanders instead of more qualified candidates.