Things I think

I think Ted Thompson will surprise us all with the number nine pick in the draft. And judging on his first round history we will not be happy…

I think A.J. Hawk and Nick Barnett are going to be beasts in the new 3-4 defense…

I think Mike McCarthy putting an end to cross-training on the offensive will help big time…

I also think Jason Spitz is the starting center next season…

I think Ryan Pickett will do just fine at nose tackle…

I think the Packers need help at running back, either to push Ryan Grant or to replace him…

I think Aaron Rodgers needs to start 16 more games before he is completely off the hook on the injury rap…

I don’t think Ted Thompson will be a big player in free agency this year, there is nobody out there yet worth the money…

I think the Packers can compete in the post-salary cap NFL because the renovation to Lambeau Field gives them year-around revenue and along with the practice fields and training facilities,  the Packers have one of the finest organizations in the NFL…

I do not think Brett Favre will join an NFL pre-game show. How would you ever get Brett Favre in a suit and tie?

I do think Brett Favre will return to Green Bay this year to get his number retired and I will be standing and cheering the moment…

I think I am worried about the depth at cornerback, Al Harris and Charles Woodson are not getting any younger…

I think the Packers need to find a safety opposite Nick Collins no matter what it takes, Bigby can not be counted on…

I think it is too early to make predictions, but I like the Packers’ chances in the NFC North…

Finally, I think it is going to be a long month-and-a-half until the draft, you know the Packers’ history in free agency.  At least this offseason we have something to look forward to with the new defense and all the coaching changes. Don’t forget about special teams. One thing is sure, this offseason will not be like last offseason.

  • matt

    It is really tiresome to read this blog with certain assholes on here. You know who you are.

  • The Truth

    Larry, with all due respect you epitomize the type of fan who is on here. You know, the unreasonable, glass half full guy. Do you really believe the special teams and OL injuries had more to do with our pathetic record than the terrible defense?

    It is helpful that people like Matt and I are disenfranchised. Someone needs to slap some sense into most of you. True fans should not be afraid to voice their disagreement with the way the team is being run. None of you should be more of a TT fan than a Packers fan. He will be gone before too long, but the team will stay. Why shouldn’t he be criticized? Don’t worry, after another losing season next year most of you will probably be in our camp.

    And the CBA will work itself out. The Pack is fine. Please, please quit using it as an excuse to justify TT thriftiness.

  • Larry

    Just good business sense Truth (or do you go by TT also). Absolutely, regarding the D last year, they were playing on half a field the last few games. You see, we’ve been through this before, when guys like matt start swearing. There is nothing you say that is going to change the management of this team and to blindly say the CBA is going to work itself out is realy naive. Its the CBA and the Snyders, Joneses, and Davises of the league who create the bidding wars in the first place. You guys dont seem old enough to remember the AFL and how hard it was to keep this team in Green Bay. You better believe I’m a Packer fan first, and just because TT is there now has nothing to do with it. Been there, done that, and have gone through a hell of a lot worse than this with this team. I’ll criticize, and have, when its called for but I for one dont think the distractors know half as much as what they think they do. In the entire history of the Pack there have only been a few individuals who have made a real change in the team – Lambeau, Lombardi, Wolf, and Reggie. And please note, of all that group, Lambeau (before my time) really had the toughest time. Of course the glass never gets below half full, thats what the Packers are all about – its a totally different environment than anything else in sport.

  • Mel e Mel

    It is high time to start the TT head on a pike parade. Tried to resign Cole and sign Canty could do neither. You get a new defense and first rate defensive coaching staff but cant do anything to really help them. We are the youngest team in football and it is doing no good at the moment. A second rate organization like the Vikes were able to get the deal done in the Jared Allen sweepstakes. I just can’t see where the improvement will come. The O-Line is average at best, as of right now we only have 2 players on the DLine Jolly may go to Jail and I wont mention the draft choice from 2 years ago.

  • Michael Legat

    Oh no. We’re going to go into this season without Colin Cole OR Chris Canty? We are doomed. DOOMED, I tell you.

    Idiots the lot of ya…

  • Matt Hayton

    Larry…Larry…Larry…

    as far as the CBA is concerned. they are still 12 months away from eliminating the salary cap. there are poison pills in there to make both the owners and the players to want to negotiate a new contract. players would lose 2 years before being able to become an UFA (meaning the average player would only get one big contract in their career as opposed to the 2 large pay days they average today); owners lose the salary cap (costing them more money) and teams would have to lose a UFA, before they could sign a UFA and the last 8 playoff teams wouldn’t be able to sign a UFA until everyone else has (yuck no teams want those clauses), so I think there is a pretty good chance they work this thing out, and you are the one who is actually naive in this matter.

    …but let’s just play this out, as it relates to the packers… as of today, clifton, kampman, chillar, college, spitz, jennings, collins and blackmon will all be UFA’s next year. However, if there is no CBA only clifton, kampman and chillar would be UFA’s, the other four would be RFA’s, which will save us MILLIONS of dollars in contract money next year. So actually, the larger risk is if there is a salary cap in 2010. Hands down we will lose some players…but one has to ask, aside from clifton, kampman, collins and jennings is there anyone on that list that we can’t replace… And even then, clifton is already past his prime (and probably won’t be resigned, irregardless), kampman will be 31. keep in mind KGB is only 32 today and already out of the league, so one would also have to ask how much they will commit to kampman, in particular if he can’t make the transition to the 3-4. Which is a huge risk we have (mitigating the effectiveness of one of our top defensive players) in switching to the new scheme…

    So really, you have 2 priorities – Jennings and Collins. If there is a cap, we have 35 million to work with to sign both players to front loaded contracts….say 3 million plus PRSB of 2 million for collins this year = 5 million cap hit. Jennings, say 7 million plus a PRSB of 3 million = 10 million for a cumulative cap hit of 15 million this year. they already count over 1.5 on the cap, so that is a net cost of 13.5 million. That still leaves them with over 21 million dollars to work with…you can’t honestly tell me that they can’t afford to sign one guy that costs them 5-7 million, that would have an immediate impact on this team. Still leaving the team with 15 million to sign all rookies and other role players (atari bigby, etc.). The math simply isn’t on your side here, Larry.

    And again, if there is no salary cap, both collins and jennings are RFA’s next year, highest tenders can be made (with draft picks as comp.), any offer can be matched and franchise tags can still be used…so for 2010, the Packers would actually be in a better position to retain their players if there is no cap.

    I think I have clearly shown that there is plenty of money to sign one or two decent to marquee free agents, without breaking the bank or risking the packers future, irregardless of what happens with the cap.

    And too be honest, if the cap goes away, long-term the packers are going to have a really hard time keeping up with the Jones’s (pun intended), Snyder’s and Rooney’s of the world. We’ll be a small market team with a difficult time handing out large paychecks year after year. So with that being said, it put’s even more of an onus to go and get some players and sign them to deals now, so that we have them locked up before there is no salary cap. So, either way, in my mind, TT is sitting on his hands and screwing up this franchise.

    …take a look at the Giants, Broncos and Texans…teams that typically aren’t big spenders in FA are locking up players left and right…some pundits are actually saying the wiser strategy with this impending no cap era is to lock as many players up as possible before the cap expires, as opposed to not paying them, because their will be a net savings by leveraging the cap today. This is the startegy that these teams and others are employing, Pats, Dallas, Arizona, etc….

    And as far as the build through the draft philosophy, look at the Steelers, Hartwig their center, Farrior and Leftwhich are all FA acquisitions, look the Patriots, they have a healthy diet of draft and FA, the Colts, same philosophy…Giants: Fred Robbins and Antonio Pierce were FA acquisitions, plus they just brought in 3 players this year…

    We have no balance. We haven’t brought in a decent FA for the last 3 years. The recipe for success in the NFL is to build your team through the draft and add missing pieces via free agency. We’ve built our team, but we just have too many missing pieces that we haven’t filled via free agency to be successful in the NFL. The proof is in the pudding and the last 3 SB champs have employed this philosophy and not just a draft only mentality.

    As far as not understanding my fanhood, I hope it just became clearer. I just want the best for the Packers and right now we don’t have a defensive line and that pisses me off. I’m not a mindless minion who blindly follows out of loyalty, rather due to my loyalty, I cry foul when I think management is making mistakes. Which is all I am doing here.

  • Larry

    You know what Matt Hayton; You took an awful lot of space to say what The Truth (aka TT) said in one sentence, “And the CBA will work itself out.” Obviously you have an inside source for the numbers you cite in your third paragraph, I envy you. I too, think we have cap space to sign 2-3 decent 3/4 veterans to help the conversion, but 12 mos. is not a very long time and only one team can win the big one each year. The only exception I take to your tome is that you include the Rooneys in with that group of fools. If any sure proof formula for winning (ie: FA/Draft/Trade) was out there they’d all be doing it. But wait, that wouldn’t work because it wouldn’t account for the other 31 losers. Here, again, I see a lot of anxiety out there because they see no apparent movement by the front office. Patience!

  • Larry

    Canty had stated he prefered to go to a 4/3 and he is doing just that, but probably as a tackle. Now thats ,a move strictly for the dough. How happy is he going to be, any guesses? Further, do you guys want to make offers to people you haven’t met and won’t come in for a physical?

  • Larry

    Same vein; anybody want to pay Peppers Haynesworth kind of $ and then convert him to the 3/4?

  • http://www.scotrstone.com Scot

    I don’t see how we can’t draft Raji now, if he’s available at that slot. I don’t know if we can count on him being there. We are so weak DL, I just hope at least two of our first three picks are DE/DT. We could use another corner, too. I wouldn’t begrudge TT for taking Curry, though… I think Canty and Cole were overpaid. Especially Cole. No way is he worth that kind of money. I heard a rumor that the Packers might be interested in trading for Peppers. Has anyone else heard this, and know if it’s true? It was also stated that the Packers have a few free agents lined up for visits later this week.

  • http://Orlando Mark

    Larry, we need to improve this off season. What are the odds we’re going to get a useful player in the bargain basement. Sometimes you have to ante up to stay in the game. I don’t care what TT has to do, but it’s his job to find players. We have a very real need on the D-line and it just keeps getting worse. We lose Cole and Kampman moves to OLB where there is no guarantee that will work. We’re down to Pickett, Jolly, Jenkins and Montgomery. It’s a lot more likely these guys will be going on the IR than to the pro bowl.

  • http://www.scotrstone.com Scot

    I just read on Profootballamerica’s site that the Packers have now turned their attention to Olshansky. Here’s the link: http://profootballamerica.com/

  • Larry

    Absolutely Mark, but you have to care what TT has to do. Spend all the cap space on 2 guys and your done. Haynesworth and Canty would have eaten too much up with no guarantee. REGGIE was the only one that that has ever worked here and it took 4 more years with Jackson, Jones, Rison, the DT I cant remember and a few more. Suddenly Cole becomes indispensable like the kid last year who went to CLE. I don’t know, it seems like everyone TT lets go is all-world and everyone he brings in is crap, he cant win. Yeah, I know, everybody loves Woodson, OK, I get it! Do you guys remember when St Vincent bought the Gold Dust twins, depleted the treasury, and left Bengtson with nothing to work with? Those days left a terrible mess that took decades to recover from. Don’t think for one minute that can’t happen again.

  • JeffN

    A lot of these posts are the same stuff we have been rehashing for the last year. The only new subject that has come up is Collin Cole.

    All I gotta say is a big WHATEVER to Collin Cole’s departure.

    All you guys bitching about Cole’s departure would be doing the same amount of bitching if we paid the guy being he is just a really average player.

  • http://Orlando Mark

    Individually I don’t care about Cole. But we have to get players not lose them. Just a reminder, Reggie white, Sean Jones, Santana Dotson and Gilbert Brown. We didn’t draft them or develop them. They didn’t come cheap. They were the main cogs in a defense that led the league and got us a Super Bowl.

  • http://Orlando Mark

    Oh, if you’re going to say we developed Brown, he cost the Vikings a #3 and learned what changes he had to make on their nickel.

  • Larry

    Right on Mark, and they did not all come in at the same time (ie, same year). You’re so right about Cole. Its just a way to carp at TT.

  • JeffN

    To all who are complaining. What do you think we should do going forward? Any new ideas on how the Pack should proceed?

  • Matt Hayton

    So Larry, you are suggesting that sitting on our hands the last 3 years has worked? You like to point fingers, but yet you cannot explain how the current philosophy is working. TT has had records of 4-12, 8-8, 13-3 and 6-10 employing his philosophy: A far cry from being successful in the NFL. I think all of us on here admit that the 2007 team overperformed: call it luck, call if Favre-to-Jennings, call it an easy schedule or whatever, fact is that year was the exception, no matter how you slice it. TT is averaging 7-9. We are entering his 5th year running the show and we are just mediocre. He’s had 5 years to build this team through whatever means he has deemed necessary adn he has failed at creating a winner. His recipe has only resulted in mediocrity. The numbers don’t lie, the gaol in my mind (not sure what it is in yours) is winning football games and going to the playoffs with a shot to win a superbowl, which we’ve only done once underneath the current regime. 1 for 4 isn’t acceptable it reaks of circa 1971-1992…this guy has no excuses. Not in an NFL, where a 4-12 falcons team from a year ago goes 11-5 and goes to the playoffs with a rookie QB, or when a Patriots team losing their franchise QB and still goes 10-6.

    I just don’t understand how guys like you think TT needs more time to build this team. He’s in his 5th year for crying outloud, that’s an eternity in today’s NFL to be handed the reins to a franchise and do nothing with it….but somehow, you keep drinking the koolaid. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results, which is exactly what TT is doing. Build through the draft, don’t overpay for great players, replace via the draft and add roles players via free agency (ala – Brandon Chillar)…the net result is an average record of 7-9, which apparently doesn’t bother you.

  • The Truth

    Cole was nothing special. No one is arguing that, however, he was a servicable back up. We now have 5 D Linemen. And one of them is Malone. This is not acceptable.

    Thompson and Montgomery are more likely LB’s in the 3-4.

    What offensive linemen are you comfortable with? Clifton? Maybe. Spitz? Starting to reach. And that is it. Hopefully someone like Sitton or the Brasilian will step up, but if you are counting on that you are sadly delusional.

    What should we do Jeff? Unfortunately, that is not an easy answer. Hopefully they will still look at a lower tier FA or 2 but at this point how much help will they be? Plus it is TT so…the draft is unlikely to provide much help so we are stuck. What should we do? Fire TT. What will we do? Nothing. So get yourself comfortable and prepared for another highly disappointing season and laugh at how badly we get manhandled on both lines.

  • Matt Hayton

    JeffN – I would bring in Matt Birk and Igor Olshansky today! And sign one of them by Wednesday. Olshanky is younger at 27, but if the price was right on Birk, I would sign him ASAP, as I think he is the better player, allbeit, he’s probably only got 2-3 years left in the tank at 32, but he would immediately solidify that O-Line.

    Rumor (ESPN Insider) has it that we are now looking at Olshansky, so hopefully TT can get that done. Then I’ll call off the dogs for a little bit.

    Whatever guy I didn’t sign, I would then start to look at tier 2 guys on that line and sign one of them in the next month.

    At the end of the day, I think we need to add two pieces via free agency this year or our lines are going to be a mess. Failing to do that, which is where we are today, will cripple this team for next year. Our lines were manhandled last year on both sides of the ball and drafting one or two guys isn’t going to be enough to fix the problem. Again, this is what TT has tried to do for the last 3-4 years and it hasn’t worked – i.e. – Justin Harrel, Jason Spitz, Darren College, Tony Moll, Junius Coston, Will Whitacker, Mike Montgomery, Allen Barbe, etc.

  • Matt Hayton

    This artcile made me lose all respect that I had left for TT:
    http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/sfl-favre09,0,1655742,print.story

    I know I’m stirring the pot here by bringing up #4, but the Pack screwed him on his way out the door. He was given the final say by TT on choosing either the Jets or the Bucs, Favre chose the Bucs and was planning on heading to Tampa, after talking playbook with Gruden. But TT pulled the trigger on trading him to the Jets anyways, and then didn’t even bother to tell he he’d been traded. Favre found out on ESPN, just like me and you…and that is how we treat one of the greatest players in our franchise history, with no respect whatsoever.

    Switching the trade to the Jets I get (although TT went back on his verbal agreement to Favre to let him choose – sounds familiar doesn’t it – like Rivera, Wahl, Moss, etc.), but to not even have the decency to call and let Favre know is ridiculous.

    No class. There is a right and wrong of doing things and this is just piss poor management by TT during the biggest personnel move of his career…you know what they say, old habits die hard. I think this is pretty telling about how this guy does business.

  • Matt Hayton

    And everyone says Favre is the one without class…he didn’t bitch or moan about being screwed by his former team on his way out the door..instead he ponied up learned a completely different new offense at 39, and took a team that was 4-12 the year before to 9-7. That is class.

  • JeffN

    #4 is last seasons news. People are going to claim new info, or this happened, or that happened, he said, she said, but it’s all last years news that people want to bring to the surface again.

    Glad to see some of the other new points coming up tho. Like the guy from San Diego. I also think we should bring him in.

  • http://Orlando Mark

    JeffN, Olshansky would be a good addition, and if we can get him that would be an upgrade over Cole. But I heard the same talk about many other FA’s, TT’s got to figure out how to close a deal. Matt, you may be right but we’ve all got to let it go.

  • Pack4life

    The Packers have far too many players comming of surgeries not to be a major player in the Free Agent Market. Who is going to play LT,RT ILB or Defensive End? TT is now talking up TE Finley. Let alls remember Finley made plays against the worst non expansion team in the history of football,

  • Roy Jamison

    Thanks for the links. It’s too early to make win-loss predictions. If one or two pieces of the puzzle fit, next year could be pretty good. I’m thinking there are going to be growing pains associated with switching to a 3-4. It’s been awhile till the D-Line was worth much. To buy the company line that this will be a smooth transition is to believe the stimulus package is not big chunks of pork in a barrell. All we can go on is the track records and some of the guys have again pointed out the win-loss totals during the last 4 years are nothing to brag about. I might be not the brightest bulb in the socket, but there ain’t no way I’d pay Canty or Cole the kind of money they received. They hauled off more money than Jessie James ever did!

  • The Truth

    I feel like most of you only look at the total $ amount instead of looking at the market. The fact is that you may not think Cole is worth $5mm guaranteed but Seattle did and I bet GB’s and TB’s offers were pretty close to that amount. In other words he is worth that amount.

    As far as Canty, the rumor isn’t that GB wouldn’t pay more than NY, but TT wouldn’t give his agent a ballpark number before a face to face and a physical. Well a contract is always contingent on a physical and while a face to face would be nice, surely they could have talked to 10, 20, 30, whatever of his former teammates, coaches, etc. At some point you have to pay people.

    Want to talk about wasted money? How about 6 years 37.5mm for AJ Hawk? Now that is a waste.

  • JeffN

    I would like to see Olshansky in a Green Bay uniform. At 6-5 309 he is a perfect fit for DE in the new scheme. However he is still just an OK starting calibur player. We still need to bring in a DE in this draft. There will be a couple DE there in the 2nd round. Or if we trade down in the first round there would be a couple guys in the later part of the 1st round as well. Olshansky plus a drafted DE would be a good scenario.

    I just can’t stop thinking about how great it would be if Raji is still on the board when we pick at 9. Although if he isn’t there I’m not sure there would be anyone else worth taking with the 9th pick so I would trade down and pick up an extra 2nd if there are any takers.

  • Matt Hayton

    JeffN-

    I agree with eveything you said…Igor is just better than average, but that is better than what we have today. Would love to see Raji at #9, but wouldn’t be too surprised if Crabtree fell to us, now that he isn’t gonna run before he has surgery. If Crabtree is still somehow on the board. I think we’d either take him and pinch ourselves or trade down for a boatload of pics to someone desperate for a WR. Bucs at #19 or Eagles at #21 could be potential suitors…more than likely a trade down knowing TT, which I’d actually be okay with. So hopefully they can add 2 or 3 quality prospects to our O-Line and/or front 7 in mid-to-late round one and round 2. Not sold that #9 is a great spot to be with this years draft…aside from Raji, not sure that Everette Brown or Michael Oher are that much better than Tyson Jackson or Clay Matthews that could be had in mid-to-late round 1…consensus is that Jenkins is too slow to play corner, so he’s now no longer worth the #9 selection, either…

  • JeffN

    Agreed basically all those guys you mentioned are similar calibur to all the rest of the guys in the first round. Although I would pull Malcom Jenkins off my draft board all together at this point. He is just too risky of a pick and I don’t see enough upside in him. Even though “TJ who’s your mama” signed with Seattle, I still think Seattle takes Crabtree at 4. Although if Crabtree is still there at 9 you might end up with a ton more picks than if he wasn’t there.

  • Roy Jamison

    I don’t think Crabtree will last unless Seattle is nuts, which they could be. They are one of those teams that could take a flyer on Michael Vick if Hasselbeck is still iffy. Mora has a history with him, so maybe that’s something to look at. I don’t know who is gonna eat his salary. Sounds like Atlanta will have to eat some to trade him. Detroit would be a nice place for Vick too. If the Lions want to ever challenge again, they are going to have to take some calculated risks. Drafting another qb or wr high would be crazy. Maybe they take Curry number one and improve their defense. I see Sporting News think the Vikes and 49ers might also be interested in Vick. He’d be good for the NFC-north. The Lions could end up with Vick, Curry and Cushing. Now, that might turn some heads.

  • Larry

    Why aren’t the Jason Taylor bloggers from last year jumping on the tube again? Is it because Taylor has proven to be a jerk? I’d bet Vinnie would be the better value.

  • The Truth

    Are you throwing out just one name like jason taylor and saying that free agency is always a bad decision? Wow dude, do you ever stop and think how retarded that sounds?

    For our new defense I would rather have Vinny also.

  • Larry

    Not at all, but it was a good decision last year!

  • Jeff

    Truth – this is not meant to be a skewer – just a counterexample.

    Was Ahman Green worth what Houston paid to get him? Should we have matched the offer to keep him? Sometimes teams just overpay because they’re desperate and make poor decisions. John Hadl? Herschel Walker? Joe Johnson? Brett Favre? (In my opinion – Albert Haynesworth – but we’ll see how it goes.)

    On the other hand, Moss was clearly an outstanding acquisition for the Pats. Chad Pennington was a godsend last year. Michael Turner? Woodson has done a great job for us. I think Pickett was a good find. Chillar proved to be occasionally solid for us. FA can work – there’s no doubt.

    It all comes down to results. Does the team win? Regardless of how Ted goes about it, the Packers need to win the division or make a strong push into wildcard territory for me to keep backing him and Coach Mike. This is year five, guys, and you’ve had the only real QB in the division all the way. It’s time to put up or shut up.

    Sadly, to me, he seems to be floundering rather than building.

  • Jeff

    Sorry – for the purposes of making a point, I muddled the argument and included players who were FAs and players who moved through trade agreements. In this situation, I don’t make a big differentiation between those moves. In both cases, the “purchasing team” is assigning a value to the player in question based on their perception of the market at that time.

  • Matt Hayton

    Larry-

    Jason Taylor…scheme and Aaron Rodgers, that’s why not now, but yes a year ago.

    Let’s break this down…last year at this time, we were talking a D-Line of Kampman, Williams/Jolly/Cole, Pickett and Jenkins/KGB. My point then was that KGB didn’t have much left in the tank and was coming off an injury…I thought we lacked an edge rusher to couple w/Kampman, which a combination of Jason Taylor, KGB and Jenkins or just Jenkins and Taylor would have been a great udgrade. As it turned out our D-Line was very weak last year, due to the trade of Williams, injury of Jenkins and release (end of the road) of KGB. Last year in a 4-3 with that group of players, it would have made alot of sense.

    But this year, is an entirely different animal due to the switch to the 34. Now we are talking about Taylor being an OLB/DE. For linebackers, we already have Hawk, Barnett, Bishop, Poppinga, Chillar and Kampman. they are probably going to go: Hawk, Barnett, Kampman and Poppinga to start with Bishop, Chillar and a rookie competing for playing time. They made this transition to the 34, in part due to the strength of our LB core. Adding in Taylor, when you are transitioning to a new system doesn’t make sense. he is also a year older, which I thought the guy had 2 years left last year…so really this year is his last year. Scheme adjustment is probably a 2 year-deal…meaning that Taylor will be retired before we’ve fully made the transition to a 34.

    When we were clamoring for Taylor was also before the BF deal…and we were coming off a 13-3 season and thinking we were hoping going to make a final push to get to the Superbowl this year, but obviously that didn’t happen and the team is in the shitter.

    there’s your answer for why we were clamoring then vs. now…it ain’t rocket science…

  • Larry

    Wow!

  • The Truth

    Jeff, I was fine with them letting Ahman go. He was pushing 30 and had been banged up. You seem reasonable and the point is not that we should sign all our own free agents or that we need to sign big name free agents every year. But we NEED to utilize it as a tool to help our team. Especially now, when in my opinion, our talent level is pretty low and we are implementing a new scheme. For every bust you name I can name free agents who started and contributed to playoff teams (as you started to up above). No, there is not many MVP’s or Defensive Players of the Year on the list, but good, solid contributors. Like Canty very possibly would have been.

    Matt, it is pretty funny that you lay out a well thought out, reasonable explanation and all Larry can say is “wow”. It made sense to me. Great counterpoint Larry!

  • JeffN

    No Free Agency is not always a bad decision and that’s not what Larry was saying. Larry just wants (and so do I) everyone to see the big picture. Free Agency can get you a really good player for a lot of money. It can also get you a really terrible player for a lot of money. There is a reason some teams let players go to FA. Sometimes it cuz the player wants a different team Reggie White, Sean Jones. Sometimes its because the player has nothing left in the tank Ahman Green, Marco Rivera.

    That being said $30 million under the cap is not as much money as people thinks it is when it comes to the NFL. After you sign your draft picks you bring that number down to the mid $20 million. Then after extending contracts ie Jennings/Collins your under $20 million. At this point you have to keep that cap number down enough so that you resign 2 or so more of your own players the next season but still have to think about which current contracts you let go (ie KGB last year) to free up more space but at some point you run into a dead end freeing up space while still not wanting your own players leaving to free agency.

    These are things everyone should consider. The plan in Green Bay is to continue resigning all their own players and eventually they will run low on cap space doing that. I know not everyone likes this (no big splash) but its the way it is. In my opinion the Packers organization is working on more like a 7 or 8 year plan and are starting year 5. Many people think they are working on a 5 year or so plan and everyone gets fired after next season and then they start over. Nope it will take another 3 or 4 years before anyone gets fired. Basically when TT and MM and Capers contracts are up. However if you look at the level of talent this regime started with (end of Sherman era) and the talent they have now and if they keep up the pace at which they are adding talent and addition of Capers I would think they would have to be one the higher calibur NFL teams 3 to 4 years from now.

    Again I know everyone doesn’t like the longer term 7 to 8 year plan but it’s what the Packers Organization is doing whether people like it or not.

  • Larry

    C’mon guys, lets not over-think this. I still think, given ’07, that we have a nucleous of a pretty good team, especially in our Division. Everything that can go wrong with a team hit us last year; among them, injuries, coaching lapses, change at QB, lousy mindless ST play, and no real help from the ’08 draft or FA. Any change in those basics might have raised the 6 wins to 9 but probably not more. In any case a couple of tweaks here and there and we’re off again. FA will provide some experienced leadership in the 3/4 along with, what I feel is a greatly improved coaching staff. Its possible to get a “starter” at #9, although I couldn’t guess who or where. Cheer up, lose the negativity, you’ll feel much better with the glass at least half full – and by all means keep the bulk of that cap residue for the monster opportunity not seen yet.

  • Pete H

    First of all JeffN, TT was in the bidding for both Ahman and Rivera. He wanted both of them back, he was just outbid……as he nearly always is. It wasn’t that TT had some great vision on them. Second, the end of the Sherman era left this team with Clifton and Tauscher, who aren’t anything special anymore, but still, unfortunately the best we have. He also left Driver, Barnett, Harris, Jenkins, Kampman, Wells. Yopu tell me where the dramatic turnover in the top talent is. Has TT added some real quality players? Absolutely. Has he added missing depth from the Sherman era? Debateable, based especially on last year. Has he revamped a completely depleted team left by Sherman? Absolutely not, based on the fact that most of his best players are those left by Sherman.
    Third, how can you argue for a 7-8 year plan when players last an average of 3-5 years in the league? Nonsense. You don’t have a 7-8 year plan. You have a plan to be successful in the short and long term. If you think anything he is doing now is to set them up for 2015, then you are crazy.

  • Larry

    Fellas, nothing we say here is worth a hill o’beans! Nor, do any of us have the official input to know what, or what not, is, or has, gone on in the executive suite. Carp, opine, suggest, toot your own horn, and portray yourselves as experts if you will, but you’re on a fools errand if you think anybody is going to take you (or me) seriously. You guys haven’t even felt a knee in the locker room, but you can evaluate a players worth. You have no idea what a FA out there is thinking regarding where he would really want to play, yet you jump all over TT for not trying to bring your guy in, not having the slightest idea of what TT did or did not do regarding a given player. I think its fun to post, but this is not our life men (and the occasional woman); enjoy it!

  • Roy Jamison

    We’ve already had those 8 year plans back in the Bart Starr 8-8 years. The last 4 years have produced 4-12, 8-8, 13-3 (woo-hoo), and 6-10 (boo-hoo). I would think everyone here would hope for at least a 9-7 or a record to get into the playoffs next year. Given the present talent on the defense, that’s a stretch. We do need to snag a couple of middle range free agents along with the draft. Changing a defensive scheme doesn’t make any difference if you don’t have the talent to make it work.

  • The Truth

    A 7-8 year plan in the NFL is a ridiculous concept and not true. This is the NFL…make some changes and it can be a 1 year plan (see Falcons/Dolphins/etc). But because it is TT we need to be patient? Bulls**t.

    Larry, I can tell you exactly what most free agents are thinking. PAY ME. And TT refuses to do it. And I do have the slightest idea of what TT did not do regarding a player…offer them enough money to sign on the dotted line.

    You can be happy with another losing season. Personally, I want to win.

  • JeffN

    If you look at MM and TT contracts it is indeed 8 years TT and 7 years MM from the day they started and both will be here for the remainder of their contracts.

    Not every team in the NFL organization operates like: Dallas/Minnesota/Oakland/Washington. Basically do what they can to win now.

    A lot of people have tunnel vision and just don’t see that Green Bay is doing it a different way than the big slash organizations you hear about. Still tho there are a lot of teams that stay a significant amount of dollars below the cap those teams just don’t make the news.

  • Pete H

    Larry, just because we write with passion doesn’t mean I am losing any sleep over it. Thanks for pointing out the obvious though……
    JeffN, a 7 year contract isn’t a 7 year plan. It should mean that after 7 years they have displayed the ability to be consistently competitive for a championship, while having a solid future. Also, I don’t think that Indy, S.D., Tampa, Philly, etc. have sold thei souls to the salary cap devil and have remained competitive year in and year out. I do know that they have paid for the right people, as well as drafted the right people, and TT has not shown that capability, nor willingness. He has shown that when he gets a steal, money wise, like Pickett or Woodson, he will take a chance because he won’t be skewered in the media if he is wrong. He hasn’t shown the willingness to really pay for anyone. It seems like he believes he can always furnish for less. I wouldn’t doubt his way of doing things if it didn’t appear as though we were heading backwards by this style. I frankly don’t care in which way someone gets this team to be consistently successful, I just want them to stop talking about the bright future and do it.

  • Larry

    Listen hard to what JeffN is saying because it explains a lot as to who we are and how we attract the Holmgrens, Wolfs, Capers, TTs, and McCarthys. Doesn’t always work, of course, but we are what we are because of our history. Consider: ’59-’67Lombardi years 89-29 record; ’68-’91 mis-mash w/the Hadl trade mixed in 23 years of hell at 146-201; then 75-37 the Wolf/Holmgren years. We are more deliberate and cash conservative because before and after the Lombardi years we came close to losing the team. We “don’t overbid for players who would have to compete to become starters”. Hence, waiting for the second tier to open up. White gave us 7 years of glory; Hadl 10 years of misery. Not refering to the number of years they played, but the impact they had on the franchise. We are a public company, with a board, stock holders, an executive committee, and employees. You have a choice to be part of this or go somewhere else where there is much more excitement. Choice is yours; don’t let the door hit you in the ass! Most of us prefer to stay and will back the organization through thick and thin because we know they are trying to give us the best product they can, just like any other business.

  • Pete H

    Don’t give me the “we don’t overbid for players” and the team might vanish soon crap. What about Joe Johnson?, Antonio Freeman, Levens, Walker, Al Harris, Ahman Green..once…Hunt, Favre and on and on. Those are all guys they payed top dollar for, or to keep. Some worked out, others didn’t, but the pre and post Lombardi era had nothing to do with it. Is there a smaller limit than a team like Dallas has? Well duh! But most of us haven’t been clamoring for TT to make a billion high priced signings just to make them. We have clamored for the guy to make the smart move, which is sometimes to pass on big ticket guys, but not as a rule. Just because someone is expensive does not mean he isn’t worth it. Sometimes that is the smart move, and don’t go blabbing about only one Reggie White because there are plenty of examples since then that have put teams over the top, or got them heading to the top. Remember, not every high priced free agent ends up in either Dallas, Oakland, Washington or Minnesota. Also remember that just because you F up on a FA move it also doesn’t spell the demise of the franchise