Slim pickings in free agency

In what could have been a boom year in free agency, because of the unlikely event a new collective bargaining agreement is reached between players and owners by March 5, 200-some players will not get their chance at a big payday. Of course that is part of the reason why some players haven’t been signed by now too – the owners knew there wasn’t going to be an agreement so why pay big money to a guy who isn’t going anywhere. The Packers’ Nick Collins is a perfect example.

Barring a miracle, and I do mean miracle because the NFL Players Association is once again failing to see the light, there will only be a handful of free agents worth signing and several of them may get a franchise or transition tag, essentially taking them off the market. When the owners used their option to end the current CBA early the players should have immediately said “OK, what can we do to get this done?” instead of getting defensive and basically forcing the owners into a lockout in 2011.

The owners hold all the cards and the sooner the players realize that the sooner a deal will get done. At least the late Gene Upshaw knew that and even though he was a hard bargainer, he got the job done before anything drastic had to happen. NFL Players Association Executive Director DeMaurice Smith has stated the players have no plans to make any concessions so a work stoppage is a certainty. The owners can sit out forever. Can the players? With that in mind I will only focus on the unrestricted free agents that might be available.

The Packers need offensive line help and that might be the slimmest pickings of all. There is simply nobody available. The Saints have two left tackles in Jammal Brown and Jermon Bushrod that are unsigned. The Packers would have to trade for one of them and Brown would probably bring the higher price tag even though he missed last year with a sports hernia. Bottom line though, don’t look for any movement here. I hope Ted Thompson finally gets lucky with offensive lineman in the draft. I also hope nobody goes hard after Chad Clifton, the best unrestricted offensive lineman out there.

Staying on the offensive side there are a couple of intriguing running backs in Chester Taylor and Willie Parker. Taylor I think for sure is starter material and if Parker can stay healthy he could be worth looking at. Myself I would be more inclined to look at Taylor if I was looking to replace Ryan Grant, which, by the way, I’m not. If the Packers could get Taylor and use him like they did in Minnesota, I’m all for it. He is heads and tails above Brandon Jackson, who has been a major bust for a second-round pick. Just re-sign Ahman Green and be done with it.

Defensively the Packers need help at linebacker and secondary and there may be some help available there. Linebackers Keith Bulluck, Karlos Dansby are available if the Packers don’t want to re-sign Aaron Kampman. Jason Taylor is also available but he won’t play in the cold in what could be his last year. Bulluck may come cheap coming off injury but Dansby won’t, in fact he will probably be tagged. Those are the outside linebackers, an interesting inside linebacker would be Gary Brackett. If the Packers don’t want to pay A.J. Hawk they might be thinking about Brackett. The thing is, Brackett will bring the leadership skills the young Packers need but in the end Hawk might be more worth the money down because of his youth. Tough call.

In the secondary guys like Leigh Bodden and Dunta Robinson at corner might be worth a look but other than Darren Sharper their is nobody of starting value at safety. Sharper back in Green Bay? I would love it! He’s today’s Deon Sanders – just following the ring.

The only guy I would open the vault to would be kicker Sebastian Janikowski. The Packers can’t afford to make another playoff run with a shabby kicker. I just wish there was a punter available.

All that said, you can see why the Packers won’t be finding any starters in free agency this year. They should just focus on guys like Clifton, Mark Tauscher, Ryan Pickett and Nick Collins and not worry about the rest. The Packers’ aren’t one player away from a championship, they have the pieces already in place, they just need a few complimentary players to get them through through the rough spots of a long season. With the work stoppage looming, the Packers might have the least worries of any NFL team going into this season.

It’s going to be an interesting off-season that is for sure.

  • Rick

    Lets all play nice. Everyone here at work is getting testy too.
    I guess we need to all stop drinking the water.
    Where is my Roy Jamison Whisky when I need him?

  • http://jlworden1suddenlink.net LarryTex

    Y’all missed the whole point – ie, its impossible to get that much done in one season. If you don’t think so, name three in the last 30 yrs.

  • Rick

    LT-
    How about 2000 Packers?
    1st round Bubba Franks
    2nd round Chad Clifton
    4th round Na’il Diggs
    5th round KGB
    7th round Mark Tauscher
    1998 Packers?
    1st round Vonnie Holliday
    5th round Corey Bradford
    6th round Matt Hasselback
    supplemental draft Mike Wahle

    If we go to the Patriots it is three years easily like when they draft some geeky kid from Michigan in the 6th round named Brady.

    You can aquire a lot of pieces in the draft… or the 1989 draft with the Packers which is an epic fail led by Man drek :)

  • http://www.cheeseheadhq.blogspot.com Gbpfan

    An excellent point Rick. The draft can either be amazingly good or amazingly bad. Thompson will have to get lucky with the offensive linemen this year. There’s just no other option. With the lack of talented free agents, it’s a do-or-die year for the offensive line. Aside from the special teams, which will be much easier to fix, the offensive line is really the only thing holding the Packers back from any real success in the playoffs.

    Go Pack Go!

  • http://jlworden1suddenlink.net LarryTex

    You’re still missing the point, what did the Pack win in 2001?

  • Rick

    The NFC North Title
    Got through the playoofs all the way to the NFC Division playoff game in which Brett threw six picks in a loss to Mooch and the 49ers.

  • Rick

    Strengths seem to be
    Offense:
    A solid recieving corp and a solid QB situation.
    Solid RB
    3 FBs ( I kid, I kid )
    Veteran Line

    Defense:
    Interior Dline presence and a veteran DB.
    Young but up and coming OLB and solid veteran MLB.
    Free Safety is a solid player to.

    Special Teams:
    Big leg on kick offs

    Negatives–
    Older Veteran line up is not staying healty and limited quality depth
    Non effective 3-4 DEs ( No push or pass rush rush ability )
    Limited depth in secondary due to injuries. Unknown how strong depth will be after injuries.
    Strong Safety disppears sometimes in game

    Special Team:
    Should be riding the short bus.
    Missed FGs.
    Poorly placed punts that line drive and out pace coverage units
    Coverage units that commit to poor lanes to try and handle returners already running back at them.
    One of the poorest return teams in the NFL.

  • Rick

    Based on that what would you look at in FA/RFA and draft?

  • Rick

    To me it screams defense side first and O line later.

    A starter capable 3-4 DE, 3-4 OLB, or a CB would be my focus early.

    Solid O line depth later and then extra RB or SS after that.

    Bring in a better discipline on special teams focusing on better coaching first.

    Then bring in legs. See how the punters stack out and kickers too.
    Probably these will be undrafted players being brought into camp.

  • Rick

    LT – Earlier I said NFC North Title. I may be mistaken. That might have been the year the Bears actually had like 13 wins.

  • Rocky70

    ” A starter capable 3-4 DE ”

    Jenkins, Jolly, Raji & possibly Harrell going into TC ……….. Looks more than solid at DE …….. The DE in Caper’s 3-4 is not expected to be big-time pass rushers ……….. They tie up blockers & create openings for your OLBs or anyone blitzing ……… There main job is to stop the run ……… 1st in 2009 season ………. As is, the DL is the strength of GB’s defense.

    You can make a ‘gig’ list that makes any team look vulnerable, even a SB Champ like New Orleans ……….. Your list of strengths for GB is far from complete.

  • iccyfan

    In the vein of “let’s draft a QB and let him slowly develop behind the established starter”, I’m intrigued by Dan LeFevour of Central Michigan. I’ve always been a fan of Coach Brian Kelly (until now – hate Notre Dame) and watched his freshman QB play the MAC title game. Kelly left to coach Cinci but Lefevour continued to grow as a player. I knew he was fast and I knew he could throw, but I didn’t know (until just now reading the combine article) he was 6’3 and 220 pounds! Scouts are “turned off” that he didn’t throw at the combine; if this prospect were to last until the middle rounds, I’d love to see him in a Packer uniform…

  • http://Orlando Mark

    The pickings in free agency has improved with Rolle from AZ either corner or safety and Sproles who can be an effective special teamer and 3rd down back.

  • Rick

    Harrel is a unknown, often hurt and he may or not be a NT/DE for this system.

    Jolly plays well as a 4-3 DT in a 3-4DE system but he has limited techniques. Watch the end of the Steeler and Cardinal games. He needs to eat two lineman. Nope.

    Jenkins is playing the 3-4 very well, but again can’t eat the two blockers and get off well.

  • Rick

    Rocky- I am not making a list to make the Packer look weak.
    I think the assesment I made is pretty accurate.

    If want one one the SB champ Siants.
    Strengths seem to be:
    Offense
    Solid QB and WR group
    Solid 1-2 punch of RBs
    Veteran O Line

    Defense:
    Excellent SS play
    Decent pressure from front 7
    DBs work okay in zone scheme
    Team works well with zone defense

    Special Teams
    Electric returner
    Solid FG kicker
    Stong Punter
    One of the least penalized special team units

    Negatives:
    Offense
    No real TE threat. Shockey plays old now. Not much of a seam stretcher
    Defense:
    No name defense- scheme is successfully executed by team. Limited “Big Name” front 7 playmakers. Great coaching but solid players may not be great away from system.
    Can hurry but not sack opposing QB
    CB are average and can be burned in one on one consistantly. Zone scheme they are fine

    Special teams
    No real issues

  • Steve Cheez

    Iccy, there you go again with another grudge. My hero!

    I still hate the redskins because of the ’72 playoff game.

  • Rocky70

    ” Rocky- I am not making a list to make the Packer look weak.
    I think the assesment I made is pretty accurate. ”

    All I said was that it was basically incomplete …………. I don’t know how you’re creating your evaluation of GB’s DEs but few pundits would agree with your comments ……….. Pretty difficult for just about any DL to eat up two blockers & eventually get off & make a play …………… The only DL really capable of consistently doing what you are saying are in the HOF a la Reggie.

    You’re too easy on New Orleans ………….. Based on your evaluation they should be a shoo-in for another SB appearance in 2010 ………… Dig deeper ………… You’ll find they have more flaws than most teams coming off a SB victory.

  • Rick

    Rocky- I do believe I never commented or alluded on SB repeat for the Saints.

    As for looking for flaws and digging deeper.

    The Saint Offensive line stayed healthy. Their depth may be an issue but no injury helps alot of teams. I can’t base that as a problem.

    On defense the Siants have a well coached Zone defense team. Due to injury or change in personnel, that can change.
    It did not last year at all. Again tough to rail on them when it did not happen. The worst was the injury to DBs. They signed McKenzie and he played well as a stop gap.

    As to the Packers last year.
    Losing Kampman and Harris changed the Packers ability to mask blitzes which made us much more predictable. It effected what we could do.

    Due to ineffective Oline play and injuries we could not keep Rodgers upright until he decided to try to not hold the ball on so long on reads and we brought a veteran talent to the right side and stopped messing with the center due to Spitz’s injury. Once the line settled we held up as an Oline in a lot of games.

    As for Capers 3-4 DE and how Jolly and Jenkins play into it/ I am asking for mulitple techniques. You can plug up against two OL players and force a play outside. Can you stunt and pull one or two defenders in and allow your OLB or S or DB to get to the QB on a blitz. We have some big boy 4-3 DT that normally slam straight ahead and take two o line man with them if the can. Tell me how that works in a 3-4 as a DE?

    Jolly is moved or slowed by the Guard maybe chipped with the Tackle. Center with chip help stalls our NT and the other T is normally their best and he hits Jenkins who is to slow to power move and they crash together.

    That mean there is a guard for pulling in the ZBS run attack against use or worse we have to bring to LBs into the play for pressure which gives up the underneath or seam route because we have our #4,5 and 6 DB on the field due to injury. It can also open up center gaps to run through. Example: Bengals game

    Look over the Steelers game and Cardinals Playoff game for what lack of pressure or hurries did. That with an injuried secondary making us go deep into our reserves just showed the weakness of the Packers.

    The Steelers and Cardinals playoff loses were duplicates of the same dang game Rocky. We need better 3-4 DE or OLB

  • http://Orlando Mark

    Rick, if we were confident in our db’s we could have blitzed Woodson which would have screwed up their protection. We did that vs Dallas with good results. But by trying to protect lousy #3 and#4 db’s we became very predictable. A reliable db’s would be just as good as a DE or OLB because we wouldn’t have to blitz a DB often, just enough to be a real threat.

  • Rick

    Fair enough Mark but against 3 and 4 WR formations I will agree. In a typical I or Pro Set I disagree.

  • Rick

    Mark, observing the idea of a DB, would you agree that defense upgrades are still the best early moves for the Packers?

  • http://Orlando Mark

    Yes, plus punter and returner.

  • Rocky70

    ” Mark, observing the idea of a DB, would you agree that defense upgrades are still the best early moves for the Packers? ”

    ” Yes, plus punter and returner. ”

    Protecting AR & reducing his hits are easily the top off-season priority ……….. You can draft defense, sign a FA for defense or make any trade you desire for the defensive side of the ball ………. But if AR is hit too often & doesn’t get up …….. GB’s season will be a wash ………… A QB is the most critical player on any NFL team & I would contend AR is more critical to GB’s success than any QB in the NFL minus P. Manning ………… GB already has the personnel to play defense ………… They only have one pro-bowl QB on the roster …………. How do you think BF would have been without a stable, effective OL protecting him for most of 16 seasons as a Packer?

  • Rocky70

    ” The Steelers and Cardinals playoff loses were duplicates of the same dang game Rocky. We need better 3-4 DE or OLB. ”

    QB’s with a quick release will always prevail no matter who is on the defensive line ……….. Pick any DE you want & that DE would have been a non-factor in both games ……….. Better play-calling & scheme by Capers would have made a more significant difference than anything Jenkins/Jolly could have or should have done in either game ………… The rule changes in the NFL are designed to promote scoring …….. QBs & WRs benefit from the rules ………….. DLs are at a disadvantage ……..

    Face it ………….. The NFL is striving to become the next ‘arena football league’ ………. Defense in the NFL will/is on the back burner ……….. Your very best DEs in the NFL do not have nearly the impact they had even 10 years ago ………. I doubt anyone brought in via free agency or the draft would fair any better than Jenkins/Jolly/Raji ………..